Saturday, May 29, 2010

Ireland nearly at demographic magic number

From yesterday's Irish Times:

Women in Ireland had an average of 2.05 children in that year, compared to 1.98 in France and 1.92 in Britain. In Poland, which was ranked lowest in terms of fertility rates in the EU during 2007, there were just 1.31 children per woman. A value of 2.1 is generally considered to be the level at which the population would replace itself in the long run, ignoring migration.

So Ireland is almost at the total fertility rate necessary to sustain a population. No other EU country is, however. Without immigration, population decline is inevitable.

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